japanese

Demand Forecasting of IR

Basic zoning plan of KIX & RINKU IR

KIX & RINKU IR can receive its synergistic effects through functional zoning plan, collaborated with existing
various projects in the neighborhood.

  • Recreational Zone/ The promenade to ‘Mable Beach’, Japanese- style garden and rest place where you can enjoy beautiful sunset landscape of Osaka Bay
  • Japanesque Zone/ As the center of ‘Cool Japan Front Project’, Japanese pop-cultures and traditional cultures are collected. Thus the whole area of IR and MICE becomes more attractive.
  • IR Zone / In addition to the main institutions of Casino and MICE, hotels, short stay facilities and restaurants will be arranged.
  • International Medical Exchange Zone / Collaborating with the national project, international medical institutions will be located.

Demand Forecasting and Business Scale of  KIX & RINKU IR

Estimated Users of KIX and Rinku-Town in 2020

  Domestic Users of KIX Foreign Users of KIX Visitors of Rinku-Town※1 Total
2013 (results) 6,733,000 2,321,000 8,500,000 17,554,000
2020 (forecast); A※2 7,076,000 3,751,000 8,500,000 19,327,000
2020 (forecast); B※3 7,076,000 6,400,000 8,500,000 21,976,000

(2014.10)

  • *1) Total visitors of Rinku-Town are estimated to 10,400,000 in 2013, but duplicated rate is supposed to be 20%.
    Then pure visitors may be 8,500,000.
  • *2)In Case A, domestic users of air will increase by 1% and foreign users will increase by 7.1% annually (by forecast
    of air demand of MLIT).
  • *3) In Case B, foreign visitors are assumed to be 6,400,000 in 2020 by Osaka Prefecture (Osaka Growth Strategy).

Visitors to KIX & RINKU IR in 2020

  Visitors to KIX & RINKU IR Visitors to Casino
Case A (annually) 8,402,000~11,174,000 5,593,000
Case A (annually)(per day) 23,000~30,600 15,300
Case B (annually) 9,542,000~12,539,1000 6,448,1000
Case B(per day) 26,100~34,600 17,700
  • *) Visitors of IR are estimated from the questionnaire of the KIX users and deducted with Gruber’s index, and
    visitors of Casino are also estimated from the same questionnaire.
  • *) Among visitors of Casino the rate of foreigners is 21.7% and 32.1% in respective cases.

As a result, visitors of KIX & RINKU IR are supposed to be 8.4~12.6 million people annually (23,000~34,600 per day). Visitors of Casino are also supposed to be 5.6~6.5 million people annually (15,300~17,700 per day).

Business Scale of KIX & RINKU IR

  IR visitors
(per day)
Total sales
(billion)
Total scale of IR Casino visitors
(per day)
Pure sales
(billion)
Operating Profit
(billion)
Total scale of Casino
minimum 23,000 223.7 255,000m² 15,300 67.1 16.8 76,500m²
maximum 34,600 258.0 295,000m² 17,700 77.4 19.4 88,500m²
  • *) Total sales are calculated from assumed consumption amount per person.
  • *) Total scale is calculated from supposed occupation area per person and operation ratio.
  • *) Hold rate of total sales of Casino is 20%, and operating profit ratio is 25%.
  • *) Pure sales of Casino is supposed to be 30% of total sales of IR.

Reference

Demand Forecasting when only the foreigners are permitted to visit IR(Casino)

IR Basic Act is under discussion in National Diet, and for the time being, only the foreigner may be permitted to enter Casino. In such case the location site of IR will be strictly limited and demand forecasting and business scale become quite different from those described in this brochure.

Demand Forecasting when only the foreigners are permitted to visit IR(Casino)

Inbound foreigners to Osaka in 2020※1 6,400,000
Visiting intention rate of IR of foreigners※2 57%
Visiting intention rate of Casino of foreigners※3 36%
The number of foreign IR visitors 3,650,000(10,000/day)
The number of foreign Casino visitorsWhen KIX&RINKU IR is provided, intention rates for both may be increased by 15-20%, because visitors whose destination are IR and Casino are supposed to be greatly increase. 2,300,000(6,300/day)
In case of 15% increase Foreign IR visitors;4,600,000(12,600/day)
Foreign Casino visitors;3,260,000(8,900/day)
In case of 20% increase Foreign IR visitors;4,930,000(13,500/day)
Foreign Casino visitors;3,580,000(9,800/day)

(2014.10)

  • ※1) Growth Strategy of Osaka
  • ※2) Questionnaire about IR
  • ※3) from the same data

Towards realization of KIX & RINKU IR

2002 Aug. Proposal for KIX and Rinku-Town Area as ‘International Exchange
Special Zone’ ( Osaka Prefecture and City, Kansai Economic Federation, and Osaka Chambers of Commerce and Industry )
2003 Feb. Request for Legalization of Casino (5 Governors of Tokyo, Osaka, Shizuoka, Wakayama, and Miyazak i Prefectures)
2007 Jun.23 Casino Night at KIX
Dec.15 Casino Night for Christmas at KIX
2008 Dec.14 Casino Seminar for Adult Persons at KIX
2009 Aug.22 ‘Casino de Night ‘ at Observation Deck of KIX
2013 Feb.~Mar. Basic Research for Integrated Resort (Izumisano City)
Apr. Proposal for Construction of Casino and Racing Circuit at KIX Island(Kansai Airport Research Institute)
May Questionnaire on KIX & RINKU IR for City Monitors (Izumisano City)
Jun. 27 Invitation Resolution of IR(Izumisano City Council)
Jul. 1 Appointm ent of IR Invitation Staffs (8, now 9 persons)(Izumisano City)
Oct.9 Lecture Meeting on IR (Izumisano Junior Chamber)
Dec. 12 Lecture Meeting on IR(Izumisano Central Lions Club)
2014 Mar. 1 Founding of Izumisano Rinku International Tourism Promotion Conference
Opening Symposium on International Tourism Promotion(IR)
(with 250 members )
Casino Simulation Game (with 150 members )
(Izumisano Rinku International Tourism Promotion Conference)
Jun. 6 First Research Meeting of Izumisano Rinku International Tourism Promotion Conference (participated by a Casino operator)
Jul. to Aug. Questionnaire on KIX&RINKU IR at KIX and Rinku-Town (Izumisano Rinku International Tourism Promotion Conference)
Oct. 27 Second Research Meeting of Izumisano Rinku International Tourism Promotion Conference
Izumisano Rinku International Tourism Committee
Izumisano Rinku International Tourism Committee
Symposium on International Tourism Promotion (IR)
Symposium on International Tourism Promotion (IR)
Casino Simulation Game
Casino Simulation Game

Related Projects to KIX & RINKU IR

At Rinku-Town two main national projects are ongoing: ‘International Medical Exchange’ and ‘Cool Japan Front’ plans, which will enhance the effects of KIX & RINKU IR synergistically.

International Medical Exchange Plan

For preparing foreign visitors for high- quality medical treatment (such as cancer treatment) and check, as well as pet therapy, Center of International Medical Exchange, Training School of Medical Interpreters, and Remote Interpreting Network System will be provided. With this plan high-hospitality and charm of Izumisano will attract both foreign and domestic visitors than ever.

Comprehensive Special ZoneInternational Medical Exchange Center ● Rinku-Town For increase of foreign visitors for medical care,
improvement of hospitality and local attractiveness should be indispensable.● from Izumisano to Osaka, Kansai, and whole of Japan
● from Izumisano to Osaka, Kansai, and whole of Japan

Solutions for the problems from KIX & RINKU IR

IR Bill provides that Government Casino Management Committee should enact the regulations of Casino, give a license to the private business who ask for operation, and confirm the equipments and game systems to be used, in order to assure the fair games and supervise the operation of Casino. City Government of Izumisano and Osaka Prefecture prepare for solutions of any problems caused from Casino.

主な対策

  • Prevention of criminals and unfairness Business license, inspection, admission restrict, guard and patrol and so on
  • Policy for juveniles Prohibition of admission against minors, and practice of education for criminal prevention
  • Countermeasures against game
    dependence syndrome
    Identification and admission restriction of the dependents and therapeutic care for them
  • Contribution to the community Constructing infrastructure fit to local landscape. Preserving local environment

Roadmap of KIX & RINKU IR 2014~2020

  1. STEP 1 / Enactment of IR Bill / 基本構想の策定、周知(コンセプト・機能の具体化)/ 区域の申請
  2. STEP 2 / Settling IR zones / 整備基準の作成 / カジノ事業者の公募~選定 / 土地の分譲
  3. STEP 3 / License and supervision by Casino  Management Committee
  4. 2020 / Opening KIX & RINKU IR Tokyo Olympic Games

PAGETOP